Wednesday, November 9, 2011

Don't cancel those weekend outdoor plans just yet.

It looks like this storm that is forecast to affect our region this weekend will in fact skirt the coast of California. This will limit precipitation in the Northstate, and just light amounts of rain (and mountain snow) will fall. So don't cancel those weekend outdoor plans just yet, as the forecast calls for just a 30% chance of showers Friday and a 20% chance on Saturday. High temperatures are expected to be warmer than previously thought, as well, with highs Friday, Saturday, and Sunday in the lower to mid 60s. Today has been warmer than yesterday, with the current temperature in Chico hovering around 60 degrees. There have been more clouds today than yesterday, though. The fall colors in Chico are rapidly accelerating, and I think the peak of the fall foliage will occur this weekend and into next week. I need to get out and take some pictures before the color fades! Here is the detailed seven day forecast for Chico from the National Weather Service:

Tonight: Patchy fog after 4am. Otherwise, partly cloudy, with a low around 39. Light northeast wind.

Thursday: Patchy fog before 10am. Otherwise, mostly sunny, with a high near 66. North northeast wind around 5 mph becoming calm.

Thursday Night: A 10 percent chance of showers after 4am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 42. Calm wind becoming northeast around 5 mph.

Veterans Day: A 30 percent chance of showers, mainly after 10am. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 62. Northeast wind at 5 mph becoming south.

Friday Night: A 30 percent chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 41.

Saturday: A 20 percent chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 61.

Saturday Night: A slight chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 42.

Sunday: A slight chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 63.

Sunday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 40.

Monday: Partly sunny, with a high near 61.

Monday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 41.

Tuesday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 63.

Tuesday, November 8, 2011

rainy weekend ahead?

The forecast models indicate we may see some rain this weekend, along with continued cool weather. Yesterday's high in Chico was 60 degrees, about eight degrees below the average for the date. So far today we've seen temps in the 50s, after a cold morning low of 32 degrees. We will see a brief warm-up to average temperatures by Thursday before a weak storm system moves in Thursday night. A stronger storm may affect our region Saturday night and into Sunday. However, computer models show the bulk of the moisture sliding down into Southern California. We will have to wait and see how much our area will be impacted by the weekend storm. For now, here's the latest forecast for Chico from the National Weather Service:

Tonight: Patchy fog after 10pm. Otherwise, partly cloudy, with a low around 38. Calm wind.

Wednesday: Patchy fog before 10am. Otherwise, mostly sunny, with a high near 62. Light northwest wind.

Wednesday Night: Patchy fog after 10pm. Otherwise, partly cloudy, with a low around 40. Light north northeast wind.

Thursday: Patchy fog before 10am. Otherwise, partly sunny, with a high near 66. Light and variable wind.

Thursday Night: A 20 percent chance of rain after 10pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 43.

Veterans Day: A 40 percent chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 60.

Friday Night: A slight chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 40.

Saturday: A slight chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 61.

Saturday Night: A chance of rain. Cloudy, with a low around 43.

Sunday: A chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 59.

Sunday Night: A chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 40.

Monday: A slight chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 59.

Sunday, November 6, 2011

cold and unsettled

This weekend has been cold and unsettled as a low pressure system originating in the Gulf of Alaska has influenced our weather here in Northern California. This storm brought us .41 of an inch of rain to Chico, along with cold high temps only in the lower 50s both yesterday and today. Up to six inches of snow have fallen in the Sierra Nevada above 4000 feet over the past 24 hours. This storm is now exiting our area, and skies should turn partly cloudy tomorrow after some patchy morning fog. Morning lows will be cold in Chico tomorrow, with temperatures dipping into the mid 30s. Brrr! Highs tomorrow through Wednesday will be in the lower 60s. More chilly, unsettled weather invades Thursday through next Saturday as another series of storms move in. Here are the details from the National Weather Service:

Tonight: Partly cloudy, with a low around 34. South wind at 5 mph becoming north.

Monday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 60. North northwest wind around 6 mph.

Monday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 36. East wind around 6 mph.

Tuesday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 61. Northeast wind at 6 mph becoming southwest.

Tuesday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 36. Calm wind becoming north northeast around 5 mph.

Wednesday: Partly sunny, with a high near 63.

Wednesday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 39.

Thursday: A slight chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 61.

Thursday Night: A slight chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 40.

Veterans Day: A slight chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 59.

Friday Night: A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 37.

Saturday: A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 56.

Saturday Night: A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 41.

Sunday: A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 56.

Friday, November 4, 2011

another storm for this weekend

Just as one fairly weak storm departs, another one is on its heels. We've seen a reprieve today, but rain and mountain snow will return for late Saturday afternoon and Saturday night for the region. A Winter Storm Watch has been posted for the Sierra Nevada for elevations above 4000 feet beginning tomorrow afternoon through Sunday morning. Up to six inches of the white stuff may fall above 4000 feet, while above 6000 feet expect up to a foot of snow. In the valley (including Chico) expect breezy conditions and rainfall adding up to about a quarter of an inch tomorrow evening through overnight Saturday/Sunday. It has been quite chilly in Chico today, despite the sunshine. Current temps are in the mid to upper 50s across the North Valley, with 55 degrees at present at the Chico Airport. Expect cold conditions overnight, with lows in the mid 30s. You may want to cover any sensitive vegetation, just in case of any frost accumulating. Fortunately, the chilly temperatures won't stick around for long, as we will see more seasonable highs in the 60s by early next week. Have a safe and fun weekend! Here's the detailed forecast for Chico from the National Weather Service:

Tonight: Partly cloudy, with a low around 34. North northwest wind between 3 and 9 mph.

Saturday: A 30 percent chance of showers after 11am. Increasing clouds, with a high near 54. Northeast wind at 11 mph becoming southeast. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.

Saturday Night: Rain. Low around 37. South southeast wind between 13 and 16 mph becoming light. Winds could gust as high as 24 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.

Sunday: A 30 percent chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 54. Light and variable wind.

Sunday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 35.

Monday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 59.

Monday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 37.

Tuesday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 61.

Tuesday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 39.

Wednesday: A slight chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 64.

Wednesday Night: A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 42.

Thursday: A chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 67.

Wednesday, November 2, 2011

frost advisory up

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SACRAMENTO HAS ISSUED A FROST
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 8 AM PDT THURSDAY.

* TEMPERATURE...CLEAR SKIES AND CALM WINDS WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES
TO DROP TO NEAR FREEZING OVER PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL SACRAMENTO
VALLEY TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY FOR LOWER ELEVATIONS WEST OF HIGHWAY 99.

* IMPACTS...TEMPERATURES NEAR FREEZING MAY BE HARMFUL TO PLANTS
AND LIVESTOCK. PLANTS MAY FORM FROST EVEN WHEN THE AIR
TEMPERATURE DOES NOT REACH FREEZING...AND FROST CAN FORM FROM
MOISTURE WITHIN PLANTS WHICH IS ESPECIALLY HARMFUL.

***UPDATE***
The Frost Advisory has been cancelled as I type this at 4 am Thursday. The clouds associated with the next storm moving in, combined with mild southerly winds, have prevented temperatures from dropping. Currently in Chico the temperature is 59 degrees. A little too warm for frost to form!

wetter and cooler tomorrow

After seeing high temps in the lower 80s on Monday, we will see much cooler weather by tomorrow- 30 degrees cooler than it was on Monday! A cold low pressure system originating in the Gulf of Alaska will bring the cooler temperatures and wet weather to our region beginning tomorrow. Showers are likely through early Friday. Sunshine returns briefly for Friday and the first half of Saturday with high temperatures stuck in the 50s both days. Another weather system moves in late Saturday and into Sunday, but right now the precipitation amounts look light for this second storm. Sunshine makes a comeback for early next week with high temperatures expected to top out in the lower 60s. That's still several degrees below normal for early November. Snow levels with this first storm will lower to around 3500-4000 feet by Friday morning, with up to six inches of snow possible. If traveling through the mountains, be prepared for winter driving conditions. The weather today has been beautiful, with sunny skies and less wind than we saw yesterday. Winds yesterday were from the northwest gusting to over 30 mph. The fall foliage in Chico is rapidly accelerating. Chico normally sees the peak of the fall colors around mid-November, so we should be on schedule this year. Every year I love to take pictures of the fall colors, so I may do that this weekend. I might have to dodge some raindrops while doing so, however. Here is the detailed seven day forecast for Chico from the National Weather Service:

Tonight: Partly cloudy, with a low around 35. Southeast wind between 7 and 10 mph.

Thursday: Showers likely, mainly after 11am. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 54. Southeast wind between 6 and 9 mph becoming calm. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.

Thursday Night: Showers likely, mainly before 11pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 36. East southeast wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.

Friday: A 20 percent chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 52. Calm wind becoming northwest between 5 and 8 mph.

Friday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 34.

Saturday: A 30 percent chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 54.

Saturday Night: Showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 38.

Sunday: A chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 56.

Sunday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 38.

Monday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 63.

Monday Night: A slight chance of showers. Partly cloudy, with a low around 42.

Tuesday: A slight chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 63.

Tuesday, November 1, 2011

changes in the weather

From the National Weather Service:

COOLER...WETTER AND WINDIER WEATHER RETURNS THIS WEEK AS A PAIR OF
WEATHER SYSTEMS WILL AFFECT THE REGION. THE FIRST SYSTEM WILL
BRING INCREASING NORTHERLY WINDS TODAY. NORTHERLY WINDS OF 15 TO
25 MPH WITH LOCAL GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE
SACRAMENTO VALLEY...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE WEST SIDE OF THE VALLEY.
LOCAL GUSTS UP TO 40 MILES PER HOUR WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT OVER
THE NORTHERN SIERRA NEVADA...ESPECIALLY DOWN WEST FACING CANYONS
AND OVER MOUNTAIN RIDGES. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DECREASE BY
WEDNESDAY.

A MUCH COLDER WEATHER SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE INTO THE REGION
THURSDAY. GENERALLY LIGHT TO MODERATE AMOUNTS OF PRECIPITATION ARE
EXPECTED WITH THIS SYSTEM INTO FRIDAY WITH POTENTIALLY SEVERAL
INCHES OF SNOW ACCUMULATING OVER THE HIGHER NORTHERN SIERRA NEVADA
MOUNTAIN PASSES...INCLUDING I-80 OVER DONNER PASS AND HIGHWAY 50
OVER ECHO SUMMIT. SNOW LEVELS BY THURSDAY NIGHT ARE FORECAST TO
LOWER TO AROUND 3000 FEET FOR THE SOUTHERN CASCADES AND AROUND 4000
FEET FOR SIERRA NEVADA SOUTH OF LAKE TAHOE.

And the seven day forecast for Chico:

Today: Sunny, with a high near 70. North northwest wind between 9 and 14 mph.

Tonight: Clear, with a low around 35. North northeast wind around 9 mph.

Wednesday: Sunny, with a high near 71. North wind between 4 and 7 mph becoming calm.

Wednesday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 39. Southeast wind around 8 mph.

Thursday: Showers likely. Cloudy, with a high near 54. East southeast wind around 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

Thursday Night: A 50 percent chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 36.

Friday: Partly sunny, with a high near 54.

Friday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 34.

Saturday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 57.

Saturday Night: A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 37.

Sunday: A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 56.

Sunday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 38.

Monday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 62.